Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.69
2-3 Goals
35%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.85
6+ Goals
15%
7.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
31%
-5.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
49%
Away Win
45%
+3.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.5pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.22/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.25
-6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
315 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Worthing
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
09.09.2023 Worthing Worthing 1-1 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
29.04.2023 Worthing Worthing 3-1 HT 3-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
24.09.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
1-1
AWAY Worthing
33% Ball Possession 67%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town and Worthing shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Worthing at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 33% of the ball to Worthing's 67%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.25 for Worthing.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Worthing?

Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 Worthing in the England - Conference on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 26%, draw 25%, Worthing 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Worthing), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Worthing) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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