Marine 0-2 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Nov 2024

📅12/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.19
6+ Goals
7%
20.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 36% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.5pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marine EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
0.40/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.20
-70% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
267 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marine
0-2
AWAY Curzon Ashton
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Marine vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton got the better of Marine 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Curzon Ashton made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Marine had 50% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 50%, shots finished 7-14.

What was the final score of Marine vs Curzon Ashton?

Marine 0-2 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marine vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Marine 33%, draw 29%, Curzon Ashton 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Curzon Ashton), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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