Kidderminster Harriers 4-0 South Shields — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Nov 2024

📅12/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.28
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.6
6+ Goals
7%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 28% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
60%
-13.6pp
31%
Draw
23%
+8.0pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY South Shields EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.67/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.15
-9% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +53%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
4-0
AWAY South Shields
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 1
8 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kidderminster Harriers vs South Shields
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers cruised past South Shields 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kidderminster Harriers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kidderminster Harriers had 61% of the ball to South Shields's 39%, shots finished 17-1.

What was the final score of Kidderminster Harriers vs South Shields?

Kidderminster Harriers 4-0 South Shields in the England - Conference on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kidderminster Harriers vs South Shields?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kidderminster Harriers 46%, draw 31%, South Shields 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
12 Nov 2024
22:45 Marine vs Curzon Ashton Analysis →
22:45 Buxton vs Brackley Town Analysis →
22:45 Darlington 1883 vs Peterborough Sports Analysis →
22:45 Torquay United vs Maidstone United Analysis →
22:45 Boreham Wood vs Truro City Analysis →
22:45 Slough Town vs Dorking Wanderers Analysis →