Buxton 0-2 Brackley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Nov 2024

📅12/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.61
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.3pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buxton EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.35/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.99
-4% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buxton
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Brackley Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Buxton Buxton 0-0 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
12.08.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
22.04.2023 Buxton Buxton 3-1 HT 3-1 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
22.10.2022 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buxton
0-2
AWAY Brackley Town
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Buxton vs Brackley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town got the better of Buxton 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Brackley Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Buxton had 58% of the ball to Brackley Town's 42%, shots finished 6-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Brackley Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Buxton and 1.25 for Brackley Town.

What was the final score of Buxton vs Brackley Town?

Buxton 0-2 Brackley Town in the England - Conference on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buxton vs Brackley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Buxton 37%, draw 29%, Brackley Town 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Buxton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Buxton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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