Buxton 0-0 Brackley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.27
6+ Goals
7%
22.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 35% vs market 31.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buxton EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -16%
1.39/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.10
+6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buxton
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Brackley Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.08.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
22.04.2023 Buxton Buxton 3-1 HT 3-1 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
22.10.2022 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buxton
0-0
AWAY Brackley Town
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 6
0 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Buxton vs Brackley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buxton and Brackley Town fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Brackley Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Buxton had 46% of the ball to Brackley Town's 54%, shots finished 4-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Brackley Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Buxton and 1.67 for Brackley Town.

What was the final score of Buxton vs Brackley Town?

Buxton 0-0 Brackley Town in the England - Conference on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buxton vs Brackley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Buxton 28%, draw 29%, Brackley Town 43%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Brackley Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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