Maidstone United 0-0 Chesham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.82
Over
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.99
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
23%
3.54
6+
9%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.99 — our 28% vs market 26.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesham United EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.59/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.60
-11% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Chesham United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
18.01.2025 Chesham United Chesham United 2-0 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
21.09.2024 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-2 HT 0-1 Chesham United Chesham United İCON
04.11.2023 Chesham United Chesham United 0-2 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidstone United
0-0
AWAY Chesham United
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Chesham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United and Chesham United fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Maidstone United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Maidstone United had 58% of the ball to Chesham United's 42%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Maidstone United and 1.33 for Chesham United.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Chesham United?

Maidstone United 0-0 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Chesham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 50%, draw 27%, Chesham United 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maidstone United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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