Maidstone United 2-2 Chesham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Sep 2024

Maidstone United
2-2 HT 0-1
Chesham United
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Maidstone United vs Chesham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 29% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maidstone United v Chesham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesham United EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.44/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.00
-13% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / +49%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0

Maidstone United vs Chesham United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Chesham United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Chesham United Chesham United 0-2 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United FAK

Maidstone United 2-2 Chesham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidstone United
2-2
AWAY Chesham United
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Chesham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United and Chesham United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Maidstone United had 52% of the ball to Chesham United's 48%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Chesham United?

Maidstone United 2-2 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Chesham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 40%, draw 26%, Chesham United 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maidstone United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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