Salisbury 3-2 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 30% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.10
-34% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salisbury
3-2
AWAY Chippenham Town
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salisbury squeezed past Chippenham Town 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Salisbury as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Salisbury had 47% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 53%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Chippenham Town?

Salisbury 3-2 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salisbury win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 44%, draw 25%, Chippenham Town 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salisbury), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salisbury) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
21 Sep 2024
17:00 Oxford City vs Needham Market Analysis →
17:00 Aveley vs Truro City Analysis →
17:00 Eastbourne Borough vs Slough Town Analysis →
17:00 AFC Hornchurch vs Chelmsford City Analysis →
17:00 Weymouth vs Worthing Analysis →
17:00 Bath City vs Enfield Town Analysis →