Weymouth 1-1 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Sep 2024

Weymouth
1-1 HT 0-1
Worthing
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Weymouth vs Worthing Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
50%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.73
2-3 Goals
44%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
7.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.7pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.0pp
51%
Away Win
48%
+2.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.6pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Weymouth v Worthing — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weymouth EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 52%
-16% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +1%
1.11/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.56
-14% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Weymouth vs Worthing Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weymouth
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Worthing
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Weymouth Weymouth 1-4 HT 0-2 Worthing Worthing İCON
28.08.2023 Worthing Worthing 2-0 HT 1-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
13.12.2022 Worthing Worthing 1-3 HT 1-1 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
19.11.2022 Worthing Worthing 4-2 HT 2-1 Weymouth Weymouth FAK
16.08.2022 Weymouth Weymouth 0-3 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
POST-MATCH Weymouth vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weymouth and Worthing couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Worthing at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Worthing led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Weymouth and 2.80 for Worthing.

What was the final score of Weymouth vs Worthing?

Weymouth 1-1 Worthing in the England - Conference on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weymouth vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Weymouth 30%, draw 20%, Worthing 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Worthing), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Worthing) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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