AFC Hornchurch 0-2 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.05
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.83
6+ Goals
8%
16.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 38%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
0.50/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.04
-65% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Hornchurch
0-2
AWAY Chelmsford City
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH AFC Hornchurch vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City saw off AFC Hornchurch 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Chelmsford City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, AFC Hornchurch had 50% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 50%.

What was the final score of AFC Hornchurch vs Chelmsford City?

AFC Hornchurch 0-2 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Hornchurch vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AFC Hornchurch 38%, draw 28%, Chelmsford City 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AFC Hornchurch), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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