Aveley 1-2 Truro City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Sep 2024

Aveley
1-2 HT 1-1
Truro City
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Aveley vs Truro City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 31% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-6.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aveley v Truro City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aveley EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Truro City EU Bookmakers 48%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.98/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.70
-25% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +77%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0

Aveley vs Truro City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aveley
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Truro City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Aveley Aveley 1-1 HT 1-0 Truro City Truro City İCON
POST-MATCH Aveley vs Truro City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Truro City squeezed past Aveley 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; Truro City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Aveley vs Truro City?

Aveley 1-2 Truro City in the England - Conference on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aveley vs Truro City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Truro City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aveley 32%, draw 31%, Truro City 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Truro City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Truro City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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