Oxford City 3-0 Needham Market — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.62
6+ Goals
11%
14.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.62 — our 26% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford City EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Needham Market EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.97/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.99
+31% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford City
3-0
AWAY Needham Market
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oxford City vs Needham Market
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford City swept aside Needham Market 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Oxford City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Oxford City had 48% of the ball to Needham Market's 52%, shots finished 15-5.

What was the final score of Oxford City vs Needham Market?

Oxford City 3-0 Needham Market in the England - Conference on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford City vs Needham Market?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oxford City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oxford City 42%, draw 25%, Needham Market 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oxford City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oxford City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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