Kidderminster Harriers 0-1 Alfreton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Sep 2024

Kidderminster Harriers
0-1 HT 0-0
Alfreton Town
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Kidderminster Harriers vs Alfreton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.35
6+ Goals
11%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kidderminster Harriers v Alfreton Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 25%
-11% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.66/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.40
-7% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
447 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Kidderminster Harriers vs Alfreton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Alfreton Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.05.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
25.03.2023 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-0 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
02.12.2022 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
05.04.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-1 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
20.11.2021 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 1-4 HT 1-3 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
24.11.2020 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 3-0 HT 1-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON

Kidderminster Harriers 0-1 Alfreton Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
0-1
AWAY Alfreton Town
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kidderminster Harriers vs Alfreton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfreton Town edged past Kidderminster Harriers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kidderminster Harriers at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Kidderminster Harriers had 59% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 41%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kidderminster Harriers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 0.50 for Alfreton Town.

What was the final score of Kidderminster Harriers vs Alfreton Town?

Kidderminster Harriers 0-1 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kidderminster Harriers vs Alfreton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kidderminster Harriers 48%, draw 24%, Alfreton Town 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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