Kelty Hearts 2-1 St. Mirren II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.8
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.54
2-3 Goals
40%
2.01
4-5 Goals
26%
2.5
6+ Goals
16%
5.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
51%
+7.5pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.2pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.5pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren II EU Bookmakers 29%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.27/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/2.68
+34% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -37%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
380 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Kelty Hearts vs St. Mirren II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kelty Hearts edged past St. Mirren II 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kelty Hearts as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Kelty Hearts vs St. Mirren II?

Kelty Hearts 2-1 St. Mirren II in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kelty Hearts vs St. Mirren II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kelty Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Kelty Hearts 59%, draw 19%, St. Mirren II 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kelty Hearts), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kelty Hearts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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