Burton Albion 3-0 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away Pick
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.0
Over
53%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.74
No
46%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.5
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
23%
3.14
6+
11%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.5 — our 25% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
6.93
1/2
12%
22.25
1/X
7%
15.8
X/1
12%
8.94
X/2
16%
4.27
X/X
10%
5.47
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.26
2/X
5%
14.5
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Burton Albion The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers The Market 57%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.08 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.26
1.45 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.00
Average Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Average Defensevs comparable teams Bad
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
242 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 77%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
19.3 Crosses 17.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burton Albion
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.37 xG 1.57
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
201 Passes 355
65% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-2 HT 0-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
19.10.2024 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
01.01.2024 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
26.08.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-1 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
18.04.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-1 HT 0-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
25.10.2022 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-1 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burton Albion
3-0
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
2.89 xG 1.91
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
119 Passes 325
52% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 42
19 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Burton Albion vs Bolton Wanderers
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Burton Albion made light work of Bolton Wanderers 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We leaned Bolton Wanderers at 54% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 53% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.

By the numbers, Burton Albion had 35% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 65%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 2.89 to 1.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Burton Albion and 1.50 for Bolton Wanderers.

Burton Albion vs Bolton Wanderers Result & Final Score

Burton Albion 3-0 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Burton Albion vs Bolton Wanderers Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 23%, draw 23%, Bolton Wanderers 54%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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