AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Port Vale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.54
Over
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.05
No
55%
1.69
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.24
2-3
39%
1.74
4-5
16%
4.89
6+
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.12
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
15%
5.41
X/2
17%
5.38
X/X
14%
3.79
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
14%
4.08
2/X
6%
14.4
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME AFC Wimbledon The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Vale The Market 38%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.12 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.06
1.10 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.18
Average Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
245 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 66%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
17.4 Crosses 20.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Wimbledon
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Port Vale
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.89 xG 1.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
280 Passes 206
72% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 0-2 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
26.10.2024 Port Vale Port Vale 3-2 HT 2-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
01.04.2017 Port Vale Port Vale 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
17.12.2016 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 4-0 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
05.02.2013 Port Vale Port Vale 3-0 HT 2-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
24.01.2013 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-2 HT 2-1 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Wimbledon
1-1
AWAY Port Vale
0.73 xG 1.86
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 11
150 Passes 201
61% Pass Accuracy 68%
15 Box Touches 29
24 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW AFC Wimbledon vs Port Vale
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left AFC Wimbledon and Port Vale with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Port Vale saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.73 to 1.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for AFC Wimbledon against 2.00 for Port Vale.

AFC Wimbledon vs Port Vale Result & Final Score

AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Port Vale in the England - 1st Division on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

AFC Wimbledon vs Port Vale Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AFC Wimbledon 35%, draw 28%, Port Vale 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Port Vale), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Port Vale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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