AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Port Vale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.84
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.72
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.65
X/1
14%
5.05
X/2
10%
5.77
X/X
10%
3.92
2/1
9%
33.5
2/2
16%
4.54
2/X
11%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Vale EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.26/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.29
+0% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
246 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 67%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
18.9 Crosses 16.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Wimbledon
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Port Vale
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.64 xG 2.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
257 Passes 204
69% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Box Touches 16
31 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 5
26.10.2024 Port Vale Port Vale 3-2 HT 2-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
01.04.2017 Port Vale Port Vale 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
17.12.2016 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 4-0 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
05.02.2013 Port Vale Port Vale 3-0 HT 2-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
24.01.2013 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-2 HT 2-1 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
14.01.2012 Port Vale Port Vale 1-2 HT 1-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Wimbledon
0-2
AWAY Port Vale
0.15 xG 0.79
57% Ball Possession 43%
4 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
303 Passes 209
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AFC Wimbledon vs Port Vale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Port Vale saw off AFC Wimbledon 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Port Vale made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, AFC Wimbledon had 57% of the ball to Port Vale's 43%, shots finished 4-5, expected goals 0.15 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for AFC Wimbledon and 1.83 for Port Vale.

What was the final score of AFC Wimbledon vs Port Vale?

AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Port Vale in the England - 2nd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Wimbledon vs Port Vale?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Wimbledon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AFC Wimbledon 40%, draw 27%, Port Vale 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AFC Wimbledon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Wimbledon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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