Cheltenham Town vs Carlisle United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cheltenham Town v Carlisle United — Team-Based Signals
Cheltenham Town vs Carlisle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Cheltenham Town
İN1
1-1
HT 0-1
Carlisle United
İN2
1-2
HT 1-2
Cheltenham Town
İN2
0-1
HT 0-1
Cheltenham Town
İN2
Cheltenham Town 3-2 Carlisle United — Actual Match Statistics
Cheltenham Town edged past Carlisle United 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Cheltenham Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Cheltenham Town had 44% of the ball to Carlisle United's 56%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 2.52 to 2.47.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cheltenham Town and 0.50 for Carlisle United.
What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Carlisle United?
Cheltenham Town 3-2 Carlisle United in the England - 2nd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Carlisle United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Carlisle United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 32%, draw 28%, Carlisle United 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.