Walsall 0-1 Accrington Stanley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2025

Walsall
0-1 HT 0-1
Accrington Stanley
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Walsall vs Accrington Stanley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.73
6+ Goals
10%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 30% vs market 27.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.15
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.6
X/1
18%
4.03
X/2
13%
10.15
X/X
11%
4.96
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
8%
8.69
2/X
6%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Walsall v Accrington Stanley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +19%
1.76/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.66
+8% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 66%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
23.8 Crosses 17.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Walsall vs Accrington Stanley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Accrington Stanley
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.44 xG 1.32
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
197 Passes 182
64% Pass Accuracy 60%
30 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.10.2024 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 0-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
27.02.2024 Walsall Walsall 2-1 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
23.12.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-1 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
13.04.2019 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-1 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN1
29.09.2018 Walsall Walsall 0-1 HT 0-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
11.08.2009 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-1 HT 0-1 Walsall Walsall İNLK

Walsall 0-1 Accrington Stanley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
0-1
AWAY Accrington Stanley
0.90 xG 0.44
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
237 Passes 225
71% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Accrington Stanley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accrington Stanley nicked a narrow win over Walsall 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Walsall at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Walsall had 54% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 46%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.90 to 0.44 — the balance of chances actually favoured Walsall.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Walsall and 1.33 for Accrington Stanley.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Accrington Stanley?

Walsall 0-1 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Accrington Stanley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Walsall 51%, draw 23%, Accrington Stanley 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Walsall) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walsall) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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