Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 29% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.15
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
15%
4.94
X/2
15%
6.58
X/X
7%
4.54
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
13%
4.89
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.3pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.8pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.42/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.20
+7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
324 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 68%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
21.1 Crosses 17.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doncaster Rovers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bradford City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.95 xG 1.14
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
196 Passes 301
62% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Bradford City Bradford City 1-2 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
05.03.2024 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 0-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
30.01.2024 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İNTK
22.12.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-3 HT 1-2 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
25.02.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
30.07.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
2-1
AWAY Bradford City
0.68 xG 1.30
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
245 Passes 211
70% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Doncaster Rovers vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers nicked a narrow win over Bradford City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Doncaster Rovers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 52% of the ball to Bradford City's 48%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.68 to 1.30 — on chances, Bradford City could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Doncaster Rovers and 1.17 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs Bradford City?

Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Bradford City in the England - 2nd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 45%, draw 22%, Bradford City 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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