Bradford City 1-2 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.46 — our 25% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.81
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
14%
5.74
X/2
14%
5.55
X/X
12%
4.57
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.62
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.31/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.99
-1% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
312 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
21.1 Crosses 17.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.01 xG 0.66
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
277 Passes 240
68% Pass Accuracy 64%
25 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2024 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 0-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
30.01.2024 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İNTK
22.12.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-3 HT 1-2 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
25.02.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
30.07.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
08.09.2020 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
1-2
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.01 xG 3.05
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 13
319 Passes 210
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 27
38 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers squeezed past Bradford City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Doncaster Rovers made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Bradford City had 59% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 41%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.01 to 3.05 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Doncaster Rovers's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford City had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bradford City and 0.33 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs Doncaster Rovers?

Bradford City 1-2 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 37%, draw 25%, Doncaster Rovers 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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