Colchester 1-2 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.46
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.45
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
10%
4.91
X/2
11%
5.93
X/X
18%
3.99
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
13%
4.5
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.9pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.1pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colchester EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.42/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.13
+4% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
274 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 66%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
18.7 Crosses 19.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Salford City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.27 xG 1.56
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
239 Passes 327
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.02.2024 Salford City Salford City 1-1 HT 1-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
22.12.2023 Colchester Colchester 2-1 HT 1-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
15.04.2023 Salford City Salford City 0-1 HT 0-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
24.01.2023 Colchester Colchester 1-1 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
22.01.2022 Salford City Salford City 0-3 HT 0-2 Colchester Colchester İN2
02.10.2021 Colchester Colchester 0-2 HT 0-2 Salford City Salford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colchester
1-2
AWAY Salford City
0.91 xG 0.92
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
252 Passes 210
70% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Colchester vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City edged past Colchester 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Salford City made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Colchester had 53% of the ball to Salford City's 47%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.91 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colchester had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Colchester and 0.83 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Colchester vs Salford City?

Colchester 1-2 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colchester vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Colchester 37%, draw 32%, Salford City 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Colchester) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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