Grimsby Town 1-3 Milton Keynes Dons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.9
Over 2.5
59%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.46
6+ Goals
13%
13.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.46 — our 27% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.72
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
8%
6.73
X/2
14%
4.9
X/X
10%
4.58
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
22%
3.01
2/X
8%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
49%
-8.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
51%
+8.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons EU Bookmakers 46%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.22/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.17
+3% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -22%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
247 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 77%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
16.9 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grimsby Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.69 xG 1.18
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
192 Passes 556
68% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 0
12.03.2024 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
28.11.2023 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 HT 0-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
26.01.2019 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
10.11.2018 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 3-1 HT 0-1 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons FAK
21.08.2018 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 HT 0-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
30.03.2008 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grimsby Town
1-3
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons
0.96 xG 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 1
167 Passes 342
63% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Grimsby Town vs Milton Keynes Dons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milton Keynes Dons got the better of Grimsby Town 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Milton Keynes Dons as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Grimsby Town had 39% of the ball to Milton Keynes Dons's 61%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.96 to 2.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grimsby Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Grimsby Town and 0.83 for Milton Keynes Dons.

What was the final score of Grimsby Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Grimsby Town 1-3 Milton Keynes Dons in the England - 2nd Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grimsby Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milton Keynes Dons win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 31%, draw 25%, Milton Keynes Dons 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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