Morecambe vs Chesterfield Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Morecambe v Chesterfield — Team-Based Signals
Morecambe vs Chesterfield Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-0
Chesterfield
İN2
0-2
HT 0-1
Morecambe
İN2
1-0
HT 1-0
Morecambe
İN2
4-3
HT 0-3
Chesterfield
İN2
1-1
HT 1-1
Morecambe
İN2
2-0
HT 1-0
Chesterfield
İN2
Morecambe 2-5 Chesterfield — Actual Match Statistics
Chesterfield swept aside Morecambe 5-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Chesterfield as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Morecambe had 45% of the ball to Chesterfield's 55%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.65 to 1.12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Morecambe had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Morecambe and 1.17 for Chesterfield.
What was the final score of Morecambe vs Chesterfield?
Morecambe 2-5 Chesterfield in the England - 2nd Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Morecambe vs Chesterfield?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Morecambe 28%, draw 30%, Chesterfield 43%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesterfield), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.