Salford City 1-1 Colchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 27 Feb 2024

Salford City
1-1 HT 1-0
Colchester
📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Salford City vs Colchester Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.73
6+ Goals
14%
6.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.64
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
9%
12.35
X/1
19%
4.96
X/2
10%
7.55
X/X
9%
5.63
2/1
6%
21.45
2/2
17%
4.73
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.4pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Salford City v Colchester — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Colchester EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.34/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.56
+2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 70%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
21.3 Crosses 16.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Salford City vs Colchester Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Colchester
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.27 xG 1.09
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 Passes 242
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.12.2023 Colchester Colchester 2-1 HT 1-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
15.04.2023 Salford City Salford City 0-1 HT 0-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
24.01.2023 Colchester Colchester 1-1 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
22.01.2022 Salford City Salford City 0-3 HT 0-2 Colchester Colchester İN2
02.10.2021 Colchester Colchester 0-2 HT 0-2 Salford City Salford City İN2
01.05.2021 Colchester Colchester 1-0 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2

Salford City 1-1 Colchester — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
1-1
AWAY Colchester
1.48 xG 1.23
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
206 Passes 269
60% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Colchester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City and Colchester couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Salford City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Salford City had 46% of the ball to Colchester's 54%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.48 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colchester led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Salford City and 1.33 for Colchester.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Colchester?

Salford City 1-1 Colchester in the England - 2nd Division on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Colchester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Salford City 43%, draw 25%, Colchester 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Salford City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salford City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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