Forest Green Rovers 1-1 Wrexham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 27 Feb 2024

Forest Green Rovers
1-1 HT 1-0
Wrexham
📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Forest Green Rovers vs Wrexham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.55
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 27% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.9
1/2
9%
23.6
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
10%
8.02
X/2
18%
4.24
X/X
10%
5.02
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.44
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-0.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forest Green Rovers v Wrexham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Wrexham EU Bookmakers 55%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.04/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.40
-55% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
19.4 Crosses 20.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Forest Green Rovers vs Wrexham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forest Green Rovers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Wrexham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
The Meetings
18.03.2017 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
26.11.2016 Wrexham Wrexham 3-1 HT 2-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
02.04.2016 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
06.02.2016 Wrexham Wrexham 2-2 HT 0-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
24.02.2015 Wrexham Wrexham 0-0 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
06.09.2014 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL

Forest Green Rovers 1-1 Wrexham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
1-1
AWAY Wrexham
0.30 xG 1.34
26% Ball Possession 74%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
142 Passes 590
58% Pass Accuracy 86%
7 Box Touches 33
7 Crosses 41
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Wrexham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers and Wrexham couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Wrexham at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Forest Green Rovers had 26% of the ball to Wrexham's 74%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.30 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wrexham led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Forest Green Rovers and 1.00 for Wrexham.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Wrexham?

Forest Green Rovers 1-1 Wrexham in the England - 2nd Division on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Wrexham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 27%, draw 24%, Wrexham 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wrexham), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wrexham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
27 Feb 2024
22:45 Walsall vs Accrington Stanley Analysis →
22:45 Salford City vs Colchester Analysis →
22:45 Swindon Town vs Tranmere Rovers Analysis →
22:45 Harrogate Town vs Newport County Analysis →
22:45 Notts County vs Sutton United Analysis →