Walsall 2-1 Accrington Stanley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.54
6+ Goals
9%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 29% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.44
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.05
X/1
17%
4.18
X/2
12%
8.21
X/X
12%
4.87
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
12%
6.25
2/X
6%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.7pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.49/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.33
-16% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
342 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 67%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
21.9 Crosses 19.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Accrington Stanley
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.61 xG 1.59
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
180 Passes 193
61% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 1
23.12.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-1 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
13.04.2019 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-1 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN1
29.09.2018 Walsall Walsall 0-1 HT 0-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
11.08.2009 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-1 HT 0-1 Walsall Walsall İNLK
31.03.2007 Walsall Walsall 3-2 HT 1-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
21.10.2006 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-2 HT 0-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
2-1
AWAY Accrington Stanley
3.60 xG 1.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
25 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
183 Passes 246
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
40 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Accrington Stanley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall squeezed past Accrington Stanley 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Walsall as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Walsall had 45% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 55%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 3.60 to 1.20 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Walsall's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Walsall and 1.67 for Accrington Stanley.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Accrington Stanley?

Walsall 2-1 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Accrington Stanley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Walsall 43%, draw 27%, Accrington Stanley 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walsall) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Walsall) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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