Port Vale vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Port Vale v AFC Wimbledon — Team-Based Signals
Port Vale vs AFC Wimbledon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
AFC Wimbledon
İN1
4-0
HT 0-0
Port Vale
İN1
3-0
HT 2-0
AFC Wimbledon
İN2
2-2
HT 2-1
Port Vale
İN2
1-2
HT 1-1
AFC Wimbledon
İN2
3-2
HT 1-0
Port Vale
İN2
Port Vale 3-2 AFC Wimbledon — Actual Match Statistics
Port Vale nicked a narrow win over AFC Wimbledon 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Port Vale found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Port Vale had 43% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 57%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 2.76 to 1.64.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Wimbledon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Port Vale and 1.83 for AFC Wimbledon.
What was the final score of Port Vale vs AFC Wimbledon?
Port Vale 3-2 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 2nd Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Port Vale vs AFC Wimbledon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 40%, draw 29%, AFC Wimbledon 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Port Vale) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.