Gillingham 1-1 Cheltenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
16%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.75
Over
46%
1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.0
No
51%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.8
2-3
44%
1.73
4-5
19%
3.77
6+
8%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.8 — our 29% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.09
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.75
X/1
19%
3.95
X/2
7%
10.45
X/X
10%
4.89
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
5%
9.07
2/X
6%
17.8
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Gillingham The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheltenham Town The Market 21%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.49 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.70
0.86 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.33
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
310 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 67%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
29.9 Crosses 17.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gillingham
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Cheltenham Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.29 xG 1.51
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
199 Passes 213
64% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
20.12.2024 Gillingham Gillingham 2-2 HT 1-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
15.04.2022 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
23.11.2021 Gillingham Gillingham 0-2 HT 0-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
16.11.2021 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham FAK
06.11.2021 Gillingham Gillingham 1-1 HT 0-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gillingham
1-1
AWAY Cheltenham Town
2.16 xG 0.98
53% Ball Possession 47%
30 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 2
210 Passes 223
67% Pass Accuracy 72%
49 Box Touches 11
51 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Gillingham vs Cheltenham Town
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gillingham and Cheltenham Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Gillingham at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 49%. At 1.72 (~58%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

On the day, Gillingham had 53% of the ball to Cheltenham Town's 47%, shots finished 30-11, expected goals 2.16 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gillingham and 1.50 for Cheltenham Town.

Gillingham vs Cheltenham Town Result & Final Score

Gillingham 1-1 Cheltenham Town in the England - 2nd Division on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Gillingham vs Cheltenham Town Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 62%, draw 22%, Cheltenham Town 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gillingham), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gillingham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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