Cheltenham Town vs Gillingham Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cheltenham Town v Gillingham — Team-Based Signals
Cheltenham Town vs Gillingham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Gillingham
İN1
0-2
HT 0-1
Cheltenham Town
İN1
1-0
HT 1-0
Gillingham
FAK
1-1
HT 0-1
Cheltenham Town
FAK
1-1
HT 1-1
Cheltenham Town
İNLK
Cheltenham Town 1-1 Gillingham — Actual Match Statistics
Cheltenham Town and Gillingham shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Cheltenham Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Cheltenham Town had 47% of the ball to Gillingham's 53%, shots finished 22-16, expected goals 1.66 to 1.71.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cheltenham Town and 1.00 for Gillingham.
What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Gillingham?
Cheltenham Town 1-1 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Gillingham?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cheltenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 42%, draw 27%, Gillingham 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cheltenham Town), BTTS No went the other way.