Milton Keynes Dons 0-0 Newport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 18 Apr 2025

Milton Keynes Dons
0-0 HT 0-0
Newport County
📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Milton Keynes Dons vs Newport County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1.97
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
15.55
X/1
19%
4.1
X/2
8%
11.25
X/X
10%
5.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.0
2/2
13%
9.11
2/X
8%
17.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.0 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-12.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+9.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Milton Keynes Dons v Newport County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milton Keynes Dons EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport County EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.36/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.70
-4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 69%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
15.1 Crosses 13.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Milton Keynes Dons vs Newport County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milton Keynes Dons
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Newport County
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.47 xG 1.38
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
460 Passes 205
83% Pass Accuracy 64%
28 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.12.2024 Newport County Newport County 6-3 HT 4-1 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
24.02.2024 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 3-0 HT 3-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
11.11.2023 Newport County Newport County 0-0 HT 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
22.11.2022 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 3-1 HT 1-0 Newport County Newport County İNTK
07.01.2020 Newport County Newport County 3-0 HT 3-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İNTK
23.02.2019 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 2-0 HT 0-0 Newport County Newport County İN2

Milton Keynes Dons 0-0 Newport County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milton Keynes Dons
0-0
AWAY Newport County
0.34 xG 0.13
66% Ball Possession 34%
7 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
326 Passes 120
74% Pass Accuracy 51%
19 Box Touches 6
27 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Milton Keynes Dons vs Newport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milton Keynes Dons and Newport County fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Milton Keynes Dons at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Milton Keynes Dons had 66% of the ball to Newport County's 34%, shots finished 7-4, expected goals 0.34 to 0.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milton Keynes Dons had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Milton Keynes Dons and 1.67 for Newport County.

What was the final score of Milton Keynes Dons vs Newport County?

Milton Keynes Dons 0-0 Newport County in the England - 2nd Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milton Keynes Dons vs Newport County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milton Keynes Dons win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Milton Keynes Dons 47%, draw 26%, Newport County 26%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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