Salford City 1-2 Accrington Stanley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 29% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.54
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.35
X/1
16%
4.36
X/2
12%
8.1
X/X
10%
4.74
2/1
9%
25.0
2/2
11%
6.53
2/X
7%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -25%
1.31/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.60
+1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
229 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 69%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
20.9 Crosses 18.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Accrington Stanley
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.20 xG 1.42
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
291 Passes 197
71% Pass Accuracy 64%
17 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.12.2024 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 0-2 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
01.01.2024 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 3-0 HT 3-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
26.08.2023 Salford City Salford City 1-2 HT 0-2 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
20.09.2022 Salford City Salford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İNTK
21.01.2020 Salford City Salford City 2-1 HT 1-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
1-2
AWAY Accrington Stanley
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
220 Passes 131
67% Pass Accuracy 51%
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Accrington Stanley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accrington Stanley nicked a narrow win over Salford City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Salford City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Salford City had 55% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 45%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Salford City and 1.20 for Accrington Stanley.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Accrington Stanley?

Salford City 1-2 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Accrington Stanley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Salford City 45%, draw 25%, Accrington Stanley 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Salford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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