Accrington Stanley 0-2 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.81
No
60%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
3.87
6+ Goals
8%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 35% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.56
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
9%
6.25
X/2
14%
5.12
X/X
11%
4.09
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.43
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.9pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
1.23/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.15
+11% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
277 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 69%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
21.2 Crosses 18.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Accrington Stanley
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Salford City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.69 xG 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
219 Passes 303
65% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.01.2024 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 3-0 HT 3-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
26.08.2023 Salford City Salford City 1-2 HT 0-2 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
20.09.2022 Salford City Salford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İNTK
21.01.2020 Salford City Salford City 2-1 HT 1-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accrington Stanley
0-2
AWAY Salford City
0.32 xG 1.31
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
108 Passes 244
56% Pass Accuracy 74%
7 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Accrington Stanley vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City saw off Accrington Stanley 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Salford City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Accrington Stanley had 38% of the ball to Salford City's 62%, shots finished 7-5, expected goals 0.32 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Accrington Stanley and 0.75 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Accrington Stanley vs Salford City?

Accrington Stanley 0-2 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accrington Stanley vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Accrington Stanley 36%, draw 27%, Salford City 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salford City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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