Doncaster Rovers 3-1 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.28
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.25
X/1
18%
3.99
X/2
11%
9.02
X/X
11%
5.21
2/1
10%
23.4
2/2
6%
7.04
2/X
8%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -1%
1.74/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.60
-9% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
312 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 67%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
28.5 Crosses 17.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doncaster Rovers
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.42 xG 0.71
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
259 Passes 306
67% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
20.10.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
07.02.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
26.12.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
04.02.2020 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 0-3 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
06.04.2013 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
3-1
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
3.07 xG 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 Passes 177
71% Pass Accuracy 59%
32 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Doncaster Rovers vs Tranmere Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers saw off Tranmere Rovers 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Doncaster Rovers as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 56% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 44%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 3.07 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Doncaster Rovers had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Doncaster Rovers and 0.83 for Tranmere Rovers.

What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs Tranmere Rovers?

Doncaster Rovers 3-1 Tranmere Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs Tranmere Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 53%, draw 25%, Tranmere Rovers 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✗ BTTS No
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