Barrow 2-0 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 21 Dec 2024

Barrow
2-0 HT 2-0
Fleetwood Town
📅21/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Barrow vs Fleetwood Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.67
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.93
6+ Goals
9%
18.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.28
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.1
X/1
9%
4.76
X/2
16%
6.14
X/X
11%
4.34
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
13%
4.67
2/X
9%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.7pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barrow v Fleetwood Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barrow EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +28%
1.13/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/2.28
-11% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
20.0 Crosses 11.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 4.0

Barrow vs Fleetwood Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barrow
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.86 xG 1.21
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
353 Passes 368
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2024 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Barrow Barrow İNTK
30.08.2022 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Barrow Barrow İNTK
05.10.2021 Barrow Barrow 1-3 HT 1-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İNTK
10.01.2012 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 4-1 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İBSL
23.08.2011 Barrow Barrow 4-0 HT 3-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İBSL
25.04.2011 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İBSL

Barrow 2-0 Fleetwood Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barrow
2-0
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.57 xG 0.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 5
184 Passes 184
69% Pass Accuracy 66%
27 Box Touches 7
25 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barrow vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barrow beat Fleetwood Town 2-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Barrow found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barrow had 50% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 50%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.57 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Barrow and 2.00 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Barrow vs Fleetwood Town?

Barrow 2-0 Fleetwood Town in the England - 2nd Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barrow vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Barrow 34%, draw 30%, Fleetwood Town 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fleetwood Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fleetwood Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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