Fleetwood Town 3-0 Barrow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 8 Oct 2024

📅08/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.55 — our 26% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+8.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
42%
-9.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Barrow EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.05/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.03
-11% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -37%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
13.0 Crosses 22.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Barrow
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.27 xG 0.68
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
404 Passes 318
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2022 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Barrow Barrow İNTK
05.10.2021 Barrow Barrow 1-3 HT 1-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İNTK
10.01.2012 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 4-1 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İBSL
23.08.2011 Barrow Barrow 4-0 HT 3-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İBSL
25.04.2011 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İBSL
28.09.2010 Barrow Barrow 0-2 HT 0-2 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
3-0
AWAY Barrow
1.07 xG 1.22
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
295 Passes 423
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Barrow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town ran out comfortable winners over Barrow 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fleetwood Town as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 43% of the ball to Barrow's 57%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.07 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fleetwood Town and 1.17 for Barrow.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Barrow?

Fleetwood Town 3-0 Barrow in the England - Futbol League Cup on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Barrow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 41%, draw 27%, Barrow 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fleetwood Town) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fleetwood Town) ✗ BTTS Yes
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