Peterborough United 2-0 Stevenage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 8 Oct 2024

📅08/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.23
6+ Goals
13%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stevenage EU Bookmakers 36%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.99/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.69
+17% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +122%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
306 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 65%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
15.0 Crosses 18.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Stevenage
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.60 xG 1.15
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
384 Passes 177
80% Pass Accuracy 65%
29 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-1 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
13.03.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 3-1 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
28.11.2023 Stevenage Stevenage 2-2 HT 2-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
30.08.2022 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-2 HT 1-1 Stevenage Stevenage İNTK
23.08.2022 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İNLK
19.11.2019 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-0 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
2-0
AWAY Stevenage
0.88 xG 0.62
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
405 Passes 418
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 15
6 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs Stevenage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United saw off Stevenage 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Peterborough United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Peterborough United had 49% of the ball to Stevenage's 51%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.88 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Peterborough United and 1.17 for Stevenage.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Stevenage?

Peterborough United 2-0 Stevenage in the England - Futbol League Cup on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Stevenage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 42%, draw 25%, Stevenage 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterborough United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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