Carlisle United 0-2 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 8 Oct 2024

📅08/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 26% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carlisle United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 50%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.94/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.78
-28% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
319 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 69%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
18.3 Crosses 20.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carlisle United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.84 xG 2.12
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
242 Passes 414
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 25
5 Yellow Cards 3
29.12.2023 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN1
15.08.2023 Carlisle United Carlisle United 1-1 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carlisle United
0-2
AWAY Wigan Athletic
0.05 xG 2.13
44% Ball Possession 56%
1 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 4
405 Passes 561
84% Pass Accuracy 90%
3 Box Touches 19
2 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carlisle United vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic beat Carlisle United 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wigan Athletic as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Carlisle United had 44% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 56%, shots finished 1-10, expected goals 0.05 to 2.13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Carlisle United and 1.50 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Carlisle United vs Wigan Athletic?

Carlisle United 0-2 Wigan Athletic in the England - Futbol League Cup on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carlisle United vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wigan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Carlisle United 30%, draw 24%, Wigan Athletic 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wigan Athletic), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wigan Athletic) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNTK More England - Futbol League Cup
8 Oct 2024
21:00 Tranmere Rovers vs Accrington Stanley Analysis →
21:00 Morecambe vs Nottingham Forest U21 Analysis →
21:00 Fleetwood Town vs Barrow Analysis →
21:00 Rotherham United vs Newcastle United U21 Analysis →
21:00 Peterborough United vs Stevenage Analysis →
21:00 Milton Keynes Dons vs Arsenal U21 Analysis →