Morecambe 4-2 Nottingham Forest U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 8 Oct 2024

📅08/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.99
6+ Goals
11%
9.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morecambe EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
1.49/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.13
-46% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +68%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
20.9 Crosses 2.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Morecambe
4-2
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21
1.57 xG 0.96
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
393 Passes 318
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 10
32 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Morecambe vs Nottingham Forest U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morecambe saw off Nottingham Forest U21 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Morecambe as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Morecambe had 55% of the ball to Nottingham Forest U21's 45%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.57 to 0.96.

What was the final score of Morecambe vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Morecambe 4-2 Nottingham Forest U21 in the England - Futbol League Cup on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morecambe vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Morecambe win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Morecambe 46%, draw 24%, Nottingham Forest U21 30%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Morecambe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Morecambe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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