Rotherham United 3-1 Newcastle United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 8 Oct 2024

📅08/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.39
2-3 Goals
42%
2.0
4-5 Goals
22%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-9.4pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United U21 EU Bookmakers 20%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.91/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.35
+1% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
35.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
36.7 Crosses 8.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotherham United
3-1
AWAY Newcastle United U21
2.35 xG 0.59
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
336 Passes 373
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 11
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rotherham United vs Newcastle United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rotherham United saw off Newcastle United U21 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rotherham United as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rotherham United had 49% of the ball to Newcastle United U21's 51%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.35 to 0.59.

What was the final score of Rotherham United vs Newcastle United U21?

Rotherham United 3-1 Newcastle United U21 in the England - Futbol League Cup on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotherham United vs Newcastle United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rotherham United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Rotherham United 56%, draw 23%, Newcastle United U21 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rotherham United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rotherham United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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