Tranmere Rovers 2-1 Accrington Stanley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 8 Oct 2024

📅08/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
34%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.75
6+ Goals
12%
15.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
52%
-11.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
34%
Away Win
23%
+10.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 27%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.32/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.93
-30% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
269 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 71%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
19.9 Crosses 12.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tranmere Rovers
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Accrington Stanley
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.19 xG 1.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
222 Passes 263
64% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2024 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-0 HT 2-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İNLK
23.09.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
09.08.2022 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-2 HT 2-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İNLK
07.11.2020 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-1 HT 1-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley FAK
07.03.2020 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-2 HT 0-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN1
07.12.2019 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-1 HT 1-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tranmere Rovers
2-1
AWAY Accrington Stanley
2.41 xG 1.66
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
368 Passes 211
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tranmere Rovers vs Accrington Stanley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tranmere Rovers squeezed past Accrington Stanley 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Tranmere Rovers made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tranmere Rovers had 60% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 40%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 2.41 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tranmere Rovers had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tranmere Rovers and 0.83 for Accrington Stanley.

What was the final score of Tranmere Rovers vs Accrington Stanley?

Tranmere Rovers 2-1 Accrington Stanley in the England - Futbol League Cup on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tranmere Rovers vs Accrington Stanley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tranmere Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tranmere Rovers 40%, draw 26%, Accrington Stanley 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tranmere Rovers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tranmere Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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