Chesterfield 1-0 AFC Wimbledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 30% vs market 27.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.35
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
13%
5.01
X/2
17%
6.13
X/X
14%
4.42
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
15%
4.44
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.1pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.31/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.03
+32% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
252 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 66%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
15.5 Crosses 19.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesterfield
3W-2D-1L
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
26.11.2022 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 0-2 HT 0-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield FAK
21.01.2017 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
03.09.2016 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-1 HT 0-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
11.03.2014 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-1 HT 0-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
14.09.2013 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
09.02.2013 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesterfield
1-0
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
0.61 xG 1.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
258 Passes 240
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
9 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chesterfield vs AFC Wimbledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesterfield nicked a narrow win over AFC Wimbledon 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Chesterfield made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Chesterfield had 50% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 50%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.61 to 1.21 — the balance of chances actually favoured AFC Wimbledon.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chesterfield had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chesterfield and 0.50 for AFC Wimbledon.

What was the final score of Chesterfield vs AFC Wimbledon?

Chesterfield 1-0 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 2nd Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesterfield vs AFC Wimbledon?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Wimbledon win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 35%, draw 26%, AFC Wimbledon 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AFC Wimbledon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Wimbledon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
21 Dec 2024
15:30 Doncaster Rovers vs Tranmere Rovers Analysis →
15:30 Barrow vs Fleetwood Town Analysis →
18:00 Notts County vs Bradford City Analysis →
18:00 Harrogate Town vs Walsall Analysis →
18:00 Port Vale vs Carlisle United Analysis →
18:00 Accrington Stanley vs Salford City Analysis →