Notts County 3-0 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 21 Dec 2024

Notts County
3-0 HT 3-0
Bradford City
📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Notts County vs Bradford City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 29% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.14
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.4
X/1
16%
5.15
X/2
13%
6.69
X/X
11%
4.66
2/1
10%
26.0
2/2
15%
4.55
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Notts County v Bradford City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notts County EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +15%
1.36/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.14
-29% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
323 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 68%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
30.8 Crosses 17.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Notts County vs Bradford City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notts County
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bradford City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.90 xG 1.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
521 Passes 226
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.03.2024 Bradford City Bradford City 0-3 HT 0-1 Notts County Notts County İN2
18.11.2023 Notts County Notts County 4-2 HT 4-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
14.03.2015 Notts County Notts County 1-1 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
28.12.2014 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Notts County Notts County İN1
01.01.2014 Notts County Notts County 3-0 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
26.11.2013 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 0-1 Notts County Notts County İN1

Notts County 3-0 Bradford City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Notts County
3-0
AWAY Bradford City
2.57 xG 0.86
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 11
330 Passes 333
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 33
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Notts County vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notts County cruised past Bradford City 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Notts County made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Notts County had 47% of the ball to Bradford City's 53%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.57 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Notts County had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Notts County and 0.83 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Notts County vs Bradford City?

Notts County 3-0 Bradford City in the England - 2nd Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notts County vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Notts County 39%, draw 24%, Bradford City 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Notts County), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Notts County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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