Port Vale 0-0 Carlisle United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.81
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 29% vs market 28.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.44
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
11%
4.11
X/2
9%
8.72
X/X
12%
4.53
2/1
11%
26.0
2/2
10%
6.99
2/X
8%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Vale EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Carlisle United EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.19/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.32
+8% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
291 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 64%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
21.2 Crosses 16.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Vale
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Carlisle United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.41 xG 1.14
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
232 Passes 238
64% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.01.2024 Carlisle United Carlisle United 2-1 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
26.08.2023 Port Vale Port Vale 1-0 HT 0-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN1
08.02.2022 Carlisle United Carlisle United 1-3 HT 1-2 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
17.08.2021 Port Vale Port Vale 0-0 HT 0-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
17.04.2021 Carlisle United Carlisle United 0-0 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
10.10.2020 Port Vale Port Vale 0-1 HT 0-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Port Vale
0-0
AWAY Carlisle United
0.84 xG 0.98
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
277 Passes 280
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Port Vale vs Carlisle United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Port Vale and Carlisle United fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Port Vale at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Port Vale had 50% of the ball to Carlisle United's 50%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.84 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Port Vale and 0.67 for Carlisle United.

What was the final score of Port Vale vs Carlisle United?

Port Vale 0-0 Carlisle United in the England - 2nd Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Vale vs Carlisle United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 48%, draw 27%, Carlisle United 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Port Vale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Port Vale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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