Almeria vs Real Zaragoza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Almeria v Real Zaragoza — Team-Based Signals
Almeria vs Real Zaragoza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Almeria 4-2 Real Zaragoza — Actual Match Statistics
Almeria beat Real Zaragoza 4-2. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Almeria as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 51%.
The match data tells the story: possession split 58% to 42% in Almeria's favour, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 2.67 to 2.91.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almeria had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Almeria against 1.00 for Real Zaragoza.
Almeria vs Real Zaragoza Result & Final Score
Almeria 4 - 2 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Almeria vs Real Zaragoza Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Almeria 58%, draw 24%, Real Zaragoza 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.