Almeria vs Real Zaragoza Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almeria v Real Zaragoza — Team-Based Signals
Almeria vs Real Zaragoza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Almeria
İS2
3-0
HT 0-0
Real Zaragoza
İS2
2-1
HT 1-1
Almeria
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Real Zaragoza
İS2
0-2
HT 0-1
Almeria
İS2
Almeria 4-1 Real Zaragoza — Actual Match Statistics
Almeria cruised past Real Zaragoza 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Almeria as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Almeria had 48% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 52%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.69 to 0.19.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almeria had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Almeria and 0.83 for Real Zaragoza.
What was the final score of Almeria vs Real Zaragoza?
Almeria 4-1 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almeria vs Real Zaragoza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Almeria 52%, draw 26%, Real Zaragoza 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.