Cartagena vs Burgos Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cartagena v Burgos — Team-Based Signals
Cartagena vs Burgos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Burgos
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Burgos
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
Cartagena
İS2
1-1
HT 1-0
Cartagena
İS2
Cartagena 0-1 Burgos — Actual Match Statistics
Burgos squeezed past Cartagena 1-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Burgos as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Cartagena had 53% of the ball to Burgos's 47%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.48 to 1.03.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burgos led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cartagena and 1.83 for Burgos.
What was the final score of Cartagena vs Burgos?
Cartagena 0-1 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cartagena vs Burgos?
Before kick-off our model rated an Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 25%, draw 28%, Burgos 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.