Cordoba 1-1 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.15
6+ Goals
9%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
13%
4.76
X/2
8%
7.06
X/X
17%
4.04
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
14%
5.5
2/X
8%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cordoba EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.48/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.47
+47% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 68%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
22.2 Crosses 16.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cordoba
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.75 xG 1.07
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
327 Passes 279
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-0 HT 1-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
17.03.2019 Cordoba Cordoba 1-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
26.10.2018 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-0 HT 0-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
02.06.2018 Cordoba Cordoba 3-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
06.01.2018 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 3-2 HT 2-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
06.04.2014 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-2 HT 0-1 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cordoba
1-1
AWAY Sporting Gijon
1.73 xG 0.52
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
363 Passes 258
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cordoba vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cordoba and Sporting Gijon shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cordoba at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Cordoba had 57% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 43%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.73 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cordoba and 1.33 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Cordoba vs Sporting Gijon?

Cordoba 1-1 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cordoba vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cordoba 42%, draw 30%, Sporting Gijon 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cordoba), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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