Tlaxcala 1-1 CDS Tampico Madero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.78
Over 2.5
36%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 42%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
0.87/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.51
-37% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
1W-1D-0L
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
02.03.2025 Tlaxcala 0-0 HT 0-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
15.09.2024 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 0-1 HT 0-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tlaxcala
1-1
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tlaxcala vs CDS Tampico Madero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tlaxcala and CDS Tampico Madero couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Tlaxcala had 36% of the ball to CDS Tampico Madero's 64%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tlaxcala had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tlaxcala and 0.00 for CDS Tampico Madero.

What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Tlaxcala 1-1 CDS Tampico Madero in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Before kick-off our model rated an CDS Tampico Madero win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 36%, draw 26%, CDS Tampico Madero 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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