Venados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Venados v Tepatitlán de Morelos — Team-Based Signals
Venados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Venados 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos — Actual Match Statistics
Venados found just enough to beat Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Venados as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: Tepatitlán de Morelos saw more of the ball, 62% to 38%, shots finished 8-28.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 3.00 a game for Venados against 1.00 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.
Venados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Result & Final Score
Venados 1 - 0 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Venados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Venados 43%, draw 26%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venados) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.