Venados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Venados v Tepatitlán de Morelos — Team-Based Signals
Venados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 2-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
1-0
HT 1-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
4-2
HT 4-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
Venados 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos — Actual Match Statistics
Venados edged past Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Venados made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Venados had 38% of the ball to Tepatitlán de Morelos's 62%, shots finished 8-28.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Venados and 1.00 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.
What was the final score of Venados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Venados 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Venados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Venados 39%, draw 26%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venados) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.